Independent research, decision-relevant signals
Saker Index is an independent research project publishing a weekly Escalation Risk Score (ERS) for theaters and corridors that matter to energy, marine insurance, and macro desks.
Why “Saker”?
The saker falcon is associated with long-range vision and precise strike. The metaphor is brief on purpose: elevate the field of view, then aim at what is measurable in the weekly window — incentives and costly signals, not every headline.
Mission
Deliver decision-relevant weekly escalation signals: an ERS 0–100, incentive maps, and next-window scenarios grounded in open-source observation. The tone is clinical and precise — built for professionals who already pay for information and need a structured mid-horizon read.
What we publish
- Weekly briefs on Substack (primary distribution).
- Methodology preprint on Zenodo for citation (DOI).
- Illustrative panels on this site for product communication — clearly labeled, not live operational scores.
Audience
Energy traders, marine insurers, macro funds, and adjacent risk desks — not a university-ranking or “human flourishing” product.
Positioning
Saker Index does not replace live terminals, legal counsel, or internal risk models. It raises the quality of the weekly conversation: incentives first, costly signals over cheap talk, scenarios with explicit limits.