Citable methodology on Zenodo; weekly Escalation Risk Score notes and scenario framing on Substack.
Open methodology preprint describing the weekly ERS frame, costly vs cheap signals, and actor-incentive mapping. Cite via Zenodo DOI.
Primary channel for weekly Escalation Risk Score notes, theater panels, and next-window scenarios. Preferred path for readers and desks.
As briefs accumulate on Substack, this page will mirror key titles and dates. Until then, use the Substack profile as the live archive.
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